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** Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press

Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press

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Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press

Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press



Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press

Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press

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Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press

'What's going to happen next?' Time series data hold the answers, and Bayesian methods represent the cutting edge in learning what they have to say. This ambitious book is the first unified treatment of the emerging knowledge-base in Bayesian time series techniques. Exploiting the unifying framework of probabilistic graphical models, the book covers approximation schemes, both Monte Carlo and deterministic, and introduces switching, multi-object, non-parametric and agent-based models in a variety of application environments. It demonstrates that the basic framework supports the rapid creation of models tailored to specific applications and gives insight into the computational complexity of their implementation. The authors span traditional disciplines such as statistics and engineering and the more recently established areas of machine learning and pattern recognition. Readers with a basic understanding of applied probability, but no experience with time series analysis, are guided from fundamental concepts to the state-of-the-art in research and practice.

  • Sales Rank: #967221 in Books
  • Published on: 2011-09-30
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.72" h x .94" w x 6.85" l, 1.85 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 432 pages

Review
"this book is well organized. The experts in this field provide both breadth and depth. The book is suitable for statisticians, engineers, and computer scientists. Readers can definitely learn state-of-the-art techniques from it."
Hsun-Hsien Chang, Computing Reviews

"This volume is an ambitious attempt to bring researchers from many areas together into a common theme and exhibits well the challenges of such efforts in terms of finding a common ground or terminology. The book is well organized and the contributors provide highly technical material with "breath and depth." The topics in the book are very broad and several of them go beyond the common theme of "Bayesian time series." Perhaps an alternative title that would be more reflective of the contents of the book could be Highly structured probabilistic modeling for researchers interested in Bayesian methods, modern Monte Carlo, and time series."
Gabriel Huerta, University of New Mexico for Journal of the American Statistical Association

About the Author
David Barber is a Reader in Information Processing at University College London.

A. Taylan Cemgil is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Computer Engineering at Boğaziçi University, Istanbul.

Silvia Chiappa is a Marie Curie Fellow at the Statistical Laboratory, Cambridge.

Most helpful customer reviews

21 of 22 people found the following review helpful.
Advanced topics
By Dimitri Shvorob
I am not qualified to judge quality and scope of this book's material - I am inclined to give very high marks on both, though - but will hopefully add value by (a) pointing out that this is in fact a collection of advanced papers, not a textbook, (b) suggesting two more-beginner-friendly books on the subject, "Dynamic linear models with R" by Petris et al. (whose last two chapters enter the advanced territory explored in this book) and "Time series: modeling, computation and inference" by Prado and West, (c) listing titles of included papers.

Introduction
Inference and estimation in probabilistic time series models

1. Monte Carlo
Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo: theory and methods
Auxiliary particle filtering: recent developments
Monte Carlo probabilistic inference for diffusion processes: a methodological framework

2. Deterministic approximation
Two problems with variational expectation maximisation for time series models
Approximate inference for continuous-time Markov processes
Expectation propagation and generalized EP methods for inference in switching linear dynamical systems
Approximate inference in switching linear dynamical systems using Gaussian mixtures

3. Switching models
Physiological monitoring with factorial switching linear dynamical systems
Analysis of changepoint models

4. Multi-object models
Approximate likelihood estimation of static parameters in multi-target models
Sequential inference for dynamically evolving groups of objects
Non-commutative harmonic analysis in multi-object tracking

5. Non-parametric models
Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for Gaussian processes
Non-parametric hidden Markov models
Bayesian Gaussian process models for multi-sensor time series prediction

6. Agent-based models
Optimal control theory and the linear Bellman equation
Expectation maximisation methods for solving (PO)MDPs and optimal control problems

See all 1 customer reviews...

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** Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press Doc

** Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press Doc

** Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press Doc
** Free PDF Bayesian Time Series ModelsFrom Cambridge University Press Doc

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